On March 4th Senator Hilary Clinton gained a total of 6 pledged delegates on Barack Obama despite winning the popular vote in both Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island. Six. Yesterday Barack Obama won the Mississippi primary, gaining a total of 5 delegates on Clinton and putting Hilary at a total of +1 in the month of March.
But wait, I'm forgetting something...what about Wyoming? Obama won 7 delegates in that state to Hilary's five, which means that Obama has currently widened his delegate lead over Hilary in the month of March. She is not turning the tide, she is not climbing back into the race, she is falling further behind Obama, despite the widespread perception to the contrary.
Clinton's campaign can spin the numbers all she wants, but she doesn't just need to win Pennsylvania to win the nomination: she needs to win in Pennsylvania by a margin large enough to justify embroiling the party in an extremely nasty fight over superdelegates and whether or not to seat the delegates from Michigan and Florida. No matter what Hilary says about "big states" or "ready from day one" she is not going to convince the Democrat leadership to give her the nomination if she's down by a large margin in pledged delegates. And unless Hilary wins by huge (25%+) margins in the remaining states, she's not going to narrow the lead enough to make a viable case for the nomination.
Youtube link of the day: A great Lewis Black rant about supposed liberal bias in youtube and wikipedia.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Its Math, Stupid.
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