I'm taking a day off from sports to talk about Super Tuesday and the presidential primaries. In the interest of disclosure I'm an Obama supporter, so my already dubious predictions are going to be that much more skewed, but here's a shot at what I think is going to happen today.
General Storyline: Obama surpasses expectations, especially in the west, Clinton wins enough states to fight on.
Obama wins:
Alabama 55-42
Alaska 55-40
California 47-46
Colorado 49-46
Connecticut 47-46
Deleware 48-44
Georgia 54-39
Idaho 48-40
Illinois 65-30
Kansas 46-43
Minnesota 47-45
North Dakota 48-44
Utah 54-40
Clinton wins
Arizona 49-46
Arkansas 62-35
Massachusetts 51-47
Missouri 46-45
New Mexico 44-42
New Jersey 50-44
New York 56-41
Oklahoma 58-35
Tennessee 54-41
I would put the delegate counts here but with the way the Democrats assign delegates its a pointless exercise because its going to depend on individual congressional districts, etc. This result would provide huge momentum for Obama but wouldn't be enough to knock Clinton out yet, especially because a number of Obama's states don't have many delegates.
And for the Republicans, McCain knocks Romney out in a landslide. West Virginia already went against him, if Romney takes much beyond Massachusetts, Utah, and maybe a couple of the other small states in the west (Idaho is a definitely possibility since its 23% Mormon) I'll be shocked. Anyone thinking California is going for Romney is smoking a little too much of Cali's finest.
Funny link of the day (we'll switch away from youtube for a second): Hip-Hop Graphs.
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
Super Tuesday
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